Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Sampdoria
35.9%
Draw
23.7%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Sampdoria
vs
0.70
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS33.3%
Over 0.580.6%
Over 1.552.2%
Over 2.524.5%
Over 3.59.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.4%
1-0
16.9%
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).