Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.7%
Toulouse
10.5%
Draw
5.7%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Toulouse
vs
0.60
Niort
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
3-0
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
4-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-1
5.3%
1-1
5.0%
5-0
5.0%
5-1
3.0%
0-0
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).