Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Southampton
25.5%
Draw
38.7%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Southampton
vs
1.60
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS63.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).