Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Strasbourg
24.7%
Draw
45.2%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Strasbourg
vs
1.45
Lens
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).