Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Stevenage
29.0%
Draw
35.4%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Stevenage
vs
1.04
Notts County
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.0%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
3-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).