Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.2%
Fleetwood Town
23.2%
Draw
20.6%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Fleetwood Town
vs
0.91
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).