Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Almeria
24.7%
Draw
30.9%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Almeria
vs
1.32
Girona
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).