Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.4%
Porto
9.5%
Draw
3.1%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Porto
vs
0.37
Vizela
Markets
BTTS28.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.6%
3-0
15.4%
1-0
12.1%
4-0
10.8%
2-1
6.1%
5-0
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
1-1
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
0-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).