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09 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.0%
Morecambe
16.1%
Draw
72.9%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Morecambe

vs
2.36

Stockport

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.0%
0-1
10.5%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
7.6%
1-3
7.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-4
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
1-0
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
2-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).