Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Girona
23.4%
Draw
18.8%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Girona
vs
0.87
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
11.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).