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24 Jul 2021 · 14:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.6%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
25.9%
Draw
34.4%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

vs
1.36

Waregem

Markets

BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).