Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Fuenlabrada
29.1%
Draw
25.3%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Fuenlabrada
vs
0.84
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).