Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Dijon
23.9%
Draw
33.0%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Dijon
vs
1.22
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).