Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.5%
FC Koln
16.3%
Draw
8.2%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
FC Koln
vs
0.73
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
3-0
10.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
3.3%
5-0
3.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).