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AHT: 11CSV

27 Sept 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.7%
Greuther Furth
26.9%
Draw
40.3%
Fortuna Dusseldorf

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Greuther Furth

vs
1.53

Fortuna Dusseldorf

Markets

BTTS59.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).