Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Moreirense
23.8%
Draw
57.2%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Moreirense
vs
1.90
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
0-1
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
0-3
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
3.2%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).