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08 Mar 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.9%
Stockport
26.3%
Draw
33.8%
Charlton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Stockport

vs
1.07

Charlton

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
0-1
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).