Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Las Palmas
32.2%
Draw
28.4%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Las Palmas
vs
0.80
Elche
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.554.0%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.511.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
0-0
16.2%
0-1
13.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
5.3%
3-0
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).