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02 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.2%
Gent
29.0%
Draw
25.8%
La Louvière

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Gent

vs
0.93

La Louvière

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).