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AHT: 12CSV

22 Dec 2019 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.5%
Bochum
20.3%
Draw
8.2%
Regensburg

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Bochum

vs
0.56

Regensburg

Markets

BTTS38.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.4%
1-0
14.3%
3-0
10.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
5.4%
0-1
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
1-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).