Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.9%
Augsburg
26.8%
Draw
52.3%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Augsburg
vs
1.60
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).