Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Mirandes
24.6%
Draw
47.0%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Mirandes
vs
1.59
Malaga
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).