Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Burton
24.3%
Draw
29.3%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Burton
vs
1.07
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).