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13 Aug 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.6%
Ilford
25.8%
Draw
35.5%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Ilford

vs
1.25

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).