Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.5%
Venezia
21.2%
Draw
11.3%
Chievo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Venezia
vs
0.74
Chievo
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).