Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.7%
Sunderland
23.2%
Draw
9.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Sunderland
vs
0.50
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
2-0
16.1%
0-0
11.0%
1-1
9.9%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).