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16 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.0%
Bradford
24.4%
Draw
40.6%
Mansfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Bradford

vs
1.44

Mansfield

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).