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03 Aug 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.7%
Luzern
19.5%
Draw
17.9%
Zürich

Expected Goals (xG)

2.69

Luzern

vs
1.45

Zürich

Markets

BTTS72.5%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.578.2%
Over 3.559.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-2
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
4-2
3.7%
4-0
3.5%
1-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).