Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Auxerre
20.0%
Draw
12.7%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Auxerre
vs
0.62
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
2-0
14.5%
1-1
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).