Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Paris FC
30.3%
Draw
29.3%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Paris FC
vs
0.84
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
0-0
14.5%
0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).