Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Kayserispor
27.4%
Draw
20.9%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Kayserispor
vs
1.19
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).