Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.8%
Marseille
9.3%
Draw
6.9%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
3.64
Marseille
vs
1.07
Metz
Markets
BTTS63.8%
Over 0.599.3%
Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.584.9%
Over 3.569.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7.1%
4-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
5-1
5.1%
5-0
4.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-2
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).