Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
RB Leipzig
24.4%
Draw
46.3%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
RB Leipzig
vs
1.82
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).