Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Bournemouth
26.7%
Draw
17.9%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Bournemouth
vs
0.80
Swansea
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).