Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Farense
33.3%
Draw
25.8%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Farense
vs
0.81
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.8%
1-0
15.2%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).