Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Betis
23.8%
Draw
37.8%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Betis
vs
1.60
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).