Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.7%
Pacos Ferreira
16.2%
Draw
78.2%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.36
Pacos Ferreira
vs
2.07
Porto
Markets
BTTS26.3%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
18.8%
0-1
18.5%
0-3
13.0%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
0-4
6.7%
1-1
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
1-0
3.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-2
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).