Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.6%
Lens
23.0%
Draw
51.4%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Lens
vs
1.60
Metz
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).