Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Sunderland
34.5%
Draw
35.6%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Sunderland
vs
1.06
Brighton
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.4%
1-1
15.4%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).