Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.1%
Schalke 04
29.0%
Draw
18.8%
Ulm
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Schalke 04
vs
0.78
Ulm
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).