Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Aldershot
20.2%
Draw
22.2%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Aldershot
vs
1.50
Dorking
Markets
BTTS71.4%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.575.1%
Over 3.555.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-3
3.2%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).