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DHT: 00CSV

31 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.2%
Amiens
21.4%
Draw
20.4%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Amiens

vs
1.04

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.2%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).