Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Espanol
24.9%
Draw
14.7%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Espanol
vs
0.62
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
2-0
13.8%
0-0
11.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).