Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Werder Bremen
27.1%
Draw
38.0%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Werder Bremen
vs
1.43
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).