Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Las Palmas
29.9%
Draw
20.6%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Las Palmas
vs
0.68
Granada
Markets
BTTS34.6%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.529.7%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
0-2
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).