Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Hatayspor
28.0%
Draw
35.9%
Kasimpasa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Hatayspor
vs
1.66
Kasimpasa
Markets
BTTS68.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.0%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
3-2
3.8%
2-3
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).