Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Hamburg
21.4%
Draw
19.9%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Hamburg
vs
1.27
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS65.1%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-1
4.0%
0-0
3.8%
4-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).