⚽ FootballData
5 – 1
HHT: 31CSV

21 Dec 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
59.4%
Rizespor
25.6%
Draw
15.0%
Pendikspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.05

Rizespor

vs
0.98

Pendikspor

Markets

BTTS57.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).