Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
Parma
26.1%
Draw
55.7%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Parma
vs
1.47
Napoli
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).