Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
Sheffield Weds
29.8%
Draw
44.9%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.35
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
11.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).